Understanding the Fed’s Latitude: Job Growth and Economic Momentum

Key Information for the U.S. Trading Day All eyes are eagerly awaiting the release of the consumer price index by the Labor Department at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, against the backdrop of ongoing debate about the Fed’s potential rate cuts. Taking a broader perspective, an intriguing argument is emerging suggesting that illegal immigration might be a […]

Behind the Numbers: Exploring the Ripple Effect of Dow Transports’ Lag on the Economy

The broader U.S. market tends to thrive even when the transportation sector is struggling. While major U.S. stock-market indices reach new peaks, the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) faces challenges, remaining over 6% below its November 2021 peak. Over the past year, it has trailed behind the broader Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) by over […]

The Untold Story: How the U.S. Stock Market Bucks Concentration Trends

Despite the widespread discussion of the dominance of a select few companies like the Magnificent Seven driving stock-market gains, the reality is quite different: the U.S. market is among the least concentrated globally. According to the latest insights from the global investment returns yearbook, authored by Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton of London Business School […]

Inflation Watch: Treasury Yields Edge Lower Amid Trader Attention

Early Tuesday, U.S. bond yields experienced a decline as traders closely monitored a slew of economic indicators and remarks from Federal Reserve officials anticipated over the next few days. Here’s what’s happening: What’s prompting these shifts in the market: Benchmark Treasury yields edged lower, moving away from the upper end of their three-month range, as […]

Nasdaq 100’s Remarkable 3% Jump Triggers Memories of the Dot-Com Bubble

Bespoke analysts suggest that historical trends and seasonal factors could prompt a decline in U.S. stocks in the coming weeks. The recent surge in the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, reaching its highest level since March 2000, echoes the exuberance of the dot-com era, which ended in a market downturn and recession. Bespoke notes that while […]

Investor Beware: Strategists Raise Concerns of ’70s Stagflation Impact on Markets

Equities faced challenges while bonds shone during the tumultuous waves of inflation in the 1970s. Currently, investors seem enamored with a “Goldilocks” scenario, but a team of Wall Street quantitative strategists suggests keeping an eye out for a potential return to the conditions reminiscent of the disco era. In a recent note, J.P. Morgan analysts, […]

On Hold: Traders Patient as Treasury Yields Stay Unmoved

There was minimal movement in bond yields on Wednesday morning as traders anticipated the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January meeting. What’s happening What’s driving markets Investors were avoiding making risky investments before the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting on January 31st at 2 p.m. Eastern time. […]

Navigating Wall Street’s Mob Psychology: A Warning from a Top Strategist

Key Information for the U.S. Trading Day The U.S. trading day after the holiday shows signs of nervousness, particularly with Big Tech stocks like Nvidia seeing a dip before the market opens, ahead of eagerly awaited earnings reports. Market analysts, including Joe Adinolfi from MarketWatch, suggest that Nvidia’s earnings could potentially dampen market momentum due […]

S&P 500 Gears Up for Record Run with Focus on Producer Prices, Sentiment

U.S. equity index futures suggest the S&P 500 could reach yet another record high by Friday’s close, driven by the technology sector’s potential for a third consecutive day of gains, amidst the anticipation of fresh economic data. Here’s how stock-index futures are performing: On Thursday, the S&P 500 reached 5,029.73, surpassing its previous record close. […]

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