Tag: stocks

S&P 500 Futures Surge as Record Highs Anticipated Before CPI Revelations

Early Thursday, futures suggested that the S&P 500 would open slightly higher, hovering just a few points away from the record close of 4796.6 observed in January 2022. The potential to reach this milestone hinges on the release of the December CPI inflation report at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. The stock market has experienced a robust […]

Fed Rate Cuts: A Potential Pitfall for Stock-Market Bulls – Here’s Why

Deutsche Bank’s analysis indicates that throughout history, a reduction of 150 basis points in interest rates, equivalent to 1.5 percentage points, by the Federal Reserve has typically been linked to economic recessions. Investors optimistic about a smooth economic slowdown find reassurance in market expectations that the Fed will implement such rate cuts in 2024. However, […]

The S&P 500 vs. Russell 2000 Saga: Why the Former Holds the Winning Hand

The prevailing trend towards a “winner-take-all” economy is tilting the scales in favor of large-cap stocks over small-caps and midcaps, despite the Russell 2000 index showing a 17% gain in 2023. Surprisingly, small-cap and midcap stocks appear even more undervalued today compared to a year ago. However, appearances can be misleading for two significant reasons. […]

S&P 500 Extends Decline: Fourth Consecutive Day of Losses in 2024

The benchmark for technology stocks falls for the fifth consecutive session, marking its longest period of continuous losses since October 2022. On Thursday, the majority of U.S. stocks ended the day with lower values. The Nasdaq Composite, which primarily consists of technology stocks, experienced its fifth consecutive session of declines, while the S&P 500 had […]

Pause or Surge? Top Wall Street Bull’s 2024 Forecast Unveiled

Oppenheimer’s John Stoltzfus predicts that the U.S. stock market will exhibit a data-dependent behavior until the commencement of the upcoming fourth-quarter earnings season, scheduled to kick off next Friday. As the robust bull run, which propelled the major indexes to double-digit growth in the preceding year, potentially loses momentum in early January, strategists at Oppenheimer […]

Market Check-In: The January Effect Under Scrutiny Amidst Potential Disruptions

Concerns loom over the U.S. stock market‘s robust performance in late 2023 as the Dow and S&P 500 reach record highs, prompting worries about a potential post-New Year’s Eve downturn in January 2024. Various factors contribute to the apprehension, ranging from overbought conditions and heightened bullish sentiment to a low VIX and impending inflation reports, […]

Is the Stock Market Overvalued? A Look Back to January 2022 Levels

U.S. stocks are currently trading at levels comparable to or slightly above those seen at the bull-market peak in early January 2022. This observation, however, should be tempered by the fact that the market at that time was highly overvalued. While the bear market of 2022 has brought about some improvement in valuation metrics, it’s […]

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CFTC Rule 4.41: Hypothetical or Simulated performance results have certain limitations, unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.

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Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described herein. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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