Fed’s Dilemma: Surging Oil, Gold, and Dollar Values Shake Up Rate-Cut Forecasts
Market strategists warn that a robust global economic rebound is driving an intense surge in commodity prices throughout 2024. This surge poses a challenge to the Federal Reserve’s efforts to contain inflation and could complicate its plans to cut interest rates by mid-year. From oil and gasoline to gold and silver, commodities have kicked off […]
Key Indicators to Determine If the Stock-Market Stumble Will Deepen into a Major Pullback
Market momentum shifted gears as the first quarter concluded with smooth sailing for stock-market enthusiasts, witnessing a streak of record highs for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. However, the current narrative is being dictated by the pronounced surge in Treasury yields and oil prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled over 500 […]
Where Are the Big Investors? Exploring the Growing Bullish Case for This Asset Class
As a fresh quarter commences, there’s a slight slowdown in stock momentum compared to premarket activity. After marking its 22nd record high, the S&P 500 wrapped up the first quarter, hinting that a pause might be in the cards. Investors are parsing through remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who recently stated that he didn’t […]
The Next Chapter: S&P 500 Record Highs Beyond the Magnificent 7
In the first quarter, more stocks joined the market rally, mitigating some of the weaknesses seen in Big Tech. Analysts foresee this trend continuing. Individual stocks bolstered the S&P 500 index, dispelling doubts about the market’s narrow gains. Recent data revealed that the number of S&P 500 stocks hitting 52-week highs reached its highest point […]
S&P 500 and Vix Surge: 2024 Investor Alert
The recent ascent of the Vix likely reflects the index’s inherent tendency to revert to its mean, rather than serving as an omen of impending market tumult, as suggested by a portfolio manager. In a notable departure from the norm, both the S&P 500 and the Cboe Volatility Index, commonly known as the Vix, have […]
Quiet Markets, Big Data: Good Friday’s PCE Report Unveils Latest Inflation Picture
The upcoming release of the February personal-consumption expenditures index holds significant weight for investors, potentially shaping expectations regarding future rate adjustments by the Federal Reserve. However, this pivotal data release coincides with the Good Friday holiday, rendering financial markets closed for the day. While U.S. stock exchanges will be inactive on Friday and the Treasury […]
The Road Ahead: Drawing from History to Anticipate the Next Stock-Market Selloff
A team of investment strategists from Piper Sandler sheds light on the typical triggers behind stock-market corrections, identifying three main culprits: rising unemployment, increasing bond yields, or unexpected global shocks. The recent surge in the S&P 500, up nearly 30% in five months, has even bullish analysts considering the possibility of a “healthy” correction. However, […]
Striking the Balance: Citi’s Insights on Bitcoin’s Place in Portfolio Management
Exploring alternatives to the traditional 60/40 portfolio, there’s a proposal by Alex Saunders and David Glass from Citi suggesting a 55% stocks, 40% bonds, and 5% bitcoin allocation. This proposition gains traction with the advent of spot bitcoin ETFs, simplifying investment without the custody or liquidity issues associated with physical or futures-based bitcoin investments. While […]
What’s Driving Tesla’s Surge Despite Yet Another Downgrade?
Tesla’s stock had an uncertain trajectory on Monday, initially dipping following another downgrade before rebounding into positive territory. By midmorning, its shares had stabilized. This downgrade, the fourth from a major brokerage firm this year, reflects a broader skepticism on Wall Street towards Tesla amid a slowdown in demand for electric vehicles. Mizuho analyst Vijay […]
Market on Brink of Steep Correction, Hussman Warns of 1929-style Valuation Extremes
Investor John Hussman has issued a stark warning about the current state of the stock market, comparing it to historic bubbles such as those preceding the 1929 crash and the market peak in 2021. According to Hussman, stock valuations are as extreme as they were before previous market downturns, signaling the potential for a significant […]
