Understanding the Fed’s Latitude: Job Growth and Economic Momentum
Key Information for the U.S. Trading Day All eyes are eagerly awaiting the release of the consumer price index by the Labor Department at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, against the backdrop of ongoing debate about the Fed’s potential rate cuts. Taking a broader perspective, an intriguing argument is emerging suggesting that illegal immigration might be a […]
Behind the Numbers: Exploring the Ripple Effect of Dow Transports’ Lag on the Economy
The broader U.S. market tends to thrive even when the transportation sector is struggling. While major U.S. stock-market indices reach new peaks, the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) faces challenges, remaining over 6% below its November 2021 peak. Over the past year, it has trailed behind the broader Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) by over […]
The Untold Story: How the U.S. Stock Market Bucks Concentration Trends
Despite the widespread discussion of the dominance of a select few companies like the Magnificent Seven driving stock-market gains, the reality is quite different: the U.S. market is among the least concentrated globally. According to the latest insights from the global investment returns yearbook, authored by Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton of London Business School […]
Inflation Watch: Treasury Yields Edge Lower Amid Trader Attention
Early Tuesday, U.S. bond yields experienced a decline as traders closely monitored a slew of economic indicators and remarks from Federal Reserve officials anticipated over the next few days. Here’s what’s happening: What’s prompting these shifts in the market: Benchmark Treasury yields edged lower, moving away from the upper end of their three-month range, as […]
Nasdaq 100’s Remarkable 3% Jump Triggers Memories of the Dot-Com Bubble
Bespoke analysts suggest that historical trends and seasonal factors could prompt a decline in U.S. stocks in the coming weeks. The recent surge in the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, reaching its highest level since March 2000, echoes the exuberance of the dot-com era, which ended in a market downturn and recession. Bespoke notes that while […]
Investor Beware: Strategists Raise Concerns of ’70s Stagflation Impact on Markets
Equities faced challenges while bonds shone during the tumultuous waves of inflation in the 1970s. Currently, investors seem enamored with a “Goldilocks” scenario, but a team of Wall Street quantitative strategists suggests keeping an eye out for a potential return to the conditions reminiscent of the disco era. In a recent note, J.P. Morgan analysts, […]
