Unraveling Powell’s Reset: Why Investors Stayed Calm Amid Fed Rate-Cut Expectations
According to strategists and fund managers, markets are shifting their dependence away from Fed rate cuts and focusing more on corporate earnings growth. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s recent comments about interest rates didn’t cause as much market turbulence as expected. The S&P 500 finished above its session lows, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average […]
The Echoes of ’87: Wise Moves for Traders Banking on Fed Rate Decreases in 2024
The Fed is bracing for a familiar cautionary tale from 1985-86, as investors seem to anticipate an aggressive round of interest rate cuts despite the absence of a recession. Nicholas Colas of DataTrek Research suggests that market participants should revisit history and adjust their expectations. Fed-funds futures traders are pricing in five to six quarter-point […]
Fed Rate Cuts: A Potential Pitfall for Stock-Market Bulls – Here’s Why
Deutsche Bank’s analysis indicates that throughout history, a reduction of 150 basis points in interest rates, equivalent to 1.5 percentage points, by the Federal Reserve has typically been linked to economic recessions. Investors optimistic about a smooth economic slowdown find reassurance in market expectations that the Fed will implement such rate cuts in 2024. However, […]