Historic Bond Shift Shakes Stock Market
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Recent strong labor market data and rising consumer inflation expectations have only fueled these worries, resulting in stock sell-offs and a bond market rout. Since the early 1980s, there have been only two instances where the 10-year Treasury yield surged nearly as much as the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates. This rare phenomenon is primarily […]
Gold vs. Dollar: Why Investors Still Buy
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Gold Futures Surge as Safe-Haven Demand Overrides Dollar Strength and Rising Yields Gold futures are up 1.9% in 2025, with prices closing Thursday at a four-week high. This rally defies the typical inverse relationship between gold prices, a strong U.S. dollar, and higher Treasury yields, as mounting fiscal concerns drive investors toward safe-haven assets. “Dollar […]
S&P 500 Starts Strong: Key Trends Ahead
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Stock Investors Face Indecision as Indicators Diverge—A Critical Tiebreaker Looms Investors are grappling with mixed signals from two closely watched stock-market patterns, leaving them in a state of uncertainty as they await the deciding factor for the year’s trajectory. The Santa Claus Rally, which typically sees the S&P 500 (SPX) rise during the last five […]
Market Timer Fatigue Sparks Gains
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Be Cautious When Market Timer Stay Bullish After a Big Downturn Recent market behavior highlights the importance of sentiment analysis among stock-market timers. By reducing equity exposure and building up cash reserves, timers are signaling a potential short-term boost for the bull markets. A contrarian analysis reveals a stark shift in market-timer sentiment. In early […]
Why Stock Market Ignore Fed Signals
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Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook delivered one of the most direct warnings from the central bank in recent memory regarding stock market risks. Speaking on Monday, Cook noted that “valuations are elevated in a number of asset classes, including equity and corporate debt markets, where estimated risk premia are near the bottom of their historical […]
Handling Market Downturns Like a Pro
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Are You an Optimist or a Pessimist? Take This Market Investing Experiment Investing like Warren Buffett doesn’t have to be complicated. Following the Oracle of Omaha’s timeless strategy—buying shares of well-run, undervalued companies and holding them for decades—can yield impressive results. But there’s another, often-overlooked aspect of Buffett’s success: his unwavering optimism. Where does that […]