Here’s an update to last week’s video where John Paul said to watch out for a potential E-mini breakout. There’s been a lot of talk about a forthcoming reversal in the market. Load up a 1-week chart in your platform of choice and look for the large red candle for the first week of August. Based on this weekly movement, many institutional traders, trading advisers and individual traders likely went short. The following week, the market went down a bit more, came back up and closed as a doji candle. There was no confirmation whether the market wants to go higher or lower. We’ve started a new week here on August 15, so the currently plotting bullish candle may be a sign that the market will go up and test the most recent “high area” of 1978. The market may turn around on a dime and drop later today, next week, etc., but watch what happens if price hits the 1978 level.
On July 30, 2014, the Atlas Line produced a short trade around 10:00 a.m. US/Eastern with an entry price of 1967.25. Many Pullback and Strength trades occurred, which provided additional opportunities to the short side.
In the July 31 portion, you can see how a typical E-mini morning session begins while using the Atlas Line At around 10:00 a.m. US/Eastern, a second consecutive bar closed below the Atlas Line, generating a Short signal at 1950. Using NinjaTrader’s ATM Strategy area, John Paul defines the profit target and stop loss before the trade is placed. The profit target is always based on current market conditions. In this case, the ATR (with a Period setting of 4) shows a value of 3.4, which is rounded down to the nearest whole tick value, being 3.25 (remember that the E-mini works in .25 tick increments). This is a big trade – 3.25 points. The three stop strategies he uses work to minimize risk. Fortunately, the profit target was quickly reached. Two Strength trade signals appeared, which provided another entry. John Paul was happy with the $1,950 in profit trading 12 contracts, so he opted not to continue further.
1. Coach needs to be a good teacher – Having someone who is personable and can communicate ideas effectively is super important. John Paul has years of experience teaching traders using a live webinar format. His explanations are clear and concise. You are free to ask questions whenever you want and go over previously taught concepts that may still be challenging. Remember, what Mentorship offers is an educational experience – it’s not a trading room. We want you to become a professional trader who can engage with the markets successfully on your own.
2. Coach needs to be accessible – Individual Mentorship can be customized to your availability and time zone. John Paul answers emails from students directly, before, during, and after the eight week coaching program. We occasionally have students from Australia or other countries where the 3:00 p.m. US/Eastern Group Mentorship time is inconvenient. They love being able to access the video recordings on demand and following up with email questions. As a Mentorship student, you can email John Paul your trading questions at any time.
3. Proof of success – What are people saying about the Program? How are the reviews? Does the website offer any testimonials from real traders who partook in the education? We have a full testimonial page with over 16 video testimonials from traders who have taken our courses. And below the videos, you’ll see many written testimonials. We’ve had hundreds of students who have taken our courses. We know they’re still trading our methods because they email us to update their software licenses years after their original date of purchase. In addition, we have over three years of Atlas Line trades posted on our recent trades page.
4. Training materials need to be easy to understand – Does the website provide any indication of what the courses will be like? Are they designed for beginners or more advanced students? Day Trade to Win’s courses are full of easy-to-understand explanations and charts. We know day trading education can be intimidating, so we try our best to lower the learning curve. With the Mentorship Program, you receive courses for the ATO, Price Action Scalping, and Trade Scalper. These strategies are also taught in the live training in addition to other strategies that are live-training only. Being able to ask questions and see why a trade setup occurs greatly improves understanding. Remember that all of the live training is conducted using the most recent data (current day and recent days). This way, you can get an idea of how the market is currently playing out.
5. Practice environment required – Does the coaching program offer any sort of practice environment? You’re going to need to test what you’ve learned on the markets. At Day Trade to Win, we provide access to the NinjaTrader platform, the same platform John Paul uses. We also provide live data feeds for free upon request, so you are able to trade just like you would with real money. Remember, the only time you have to pay for NinjaTrader is when you want to trade live with real money. At that point, you fund a brokerage account and pay for a live NinjaTrader license. Up until then, there’s no cost to hone your skills.
6. Affordability – Can you afford to take the Program? Education is an investment. If you jumped in to the markets without an idea of what you’re doing, the market will have its way with your finances. It’s better to be fully prepared and be armed with strategies that have been proven and tested for years. Losses from mistakes and guessing can easily surpass the costs of a proper education. With Mentorship, the cost is less than purchasing all of our courses separately. We also split the payment three ways. With the deposit, you are able to get the first week’s course right away.
7. Assistance getting setup with trading materials – Many of our students had never traded before finding us. In fact, a large portion of our students are not the best when it comes to computers. That’s why we provide remote assistance. Upon request, we can log in to your computer and help you get set up with NinjaTrader and our courses and software. You’ll be able to practice trading in no time without any frustration or obstacles. Support is also offered after the eight weeks of training are over.
8. Ability to track progress – We offer the ability to practice in a simulated (paper) trading environment until you’re ready to fund an account with a broker. Since you’re getting into trading to actually trade money, you obviously will need a way to track your results. You’ll need a positive indication before investing into trading further. For each simulated trade you place, the NinjaTrader platform logs everything about the trade. Using NinjaTrader’s Account Performance tab, you can get instant statistical feedback on consistency, profit, loss, and overall totals.
9. Video training – Does the program offer training videos? It’s important to be able to see visual explanations and examples. We record each Mentorship training session and upload it to your personal account. You can log in and play back Mentorship training sessions at your own leisure. If a concept is a bit difficult for you, play back that portion of the video over again. We have these videos up within a few hours of each class, in most cases.
10. Integration with the charting platform – Day trading is about looking at charts and applying learned strategies. For many of the methods taught in our Mentorship Program, we have indicators programmed for NinjaTrader. Unlike other trading educators, we do not give you a ton of confusing indicators and have you blindly trade them. In fact, you do not need to use these indicators to trade since you fully learn each method. However, these indicators are great in ensuring your understanding. For example, the Trade Scalper indicator provides entry signals. You can manually find the same entries and check if they are correct by comparing with the Trade Scalper’s automated signals.
The next Group Mentorship Program begins July 8, 2014. Classes will be Tuesdays and Thursdays from 3 p.m. to 4 p.m. EDT (UTC-4). Click here to enroll.
Individual Mentorship can begin at almost any time. Send us an email at [email protected] with your availability.
Soon after the short trade John Paul recorded earlier in the day, the Atlas Line produced a Long trade as seen in the video above. John Paul caught the price action right before it caused the Atlas Line to generate the Long signal. You can see how John Paul knew a Long trade was likely to occur – a second bar was about to close above the Atlas Line. Remember, two consecutive closing bars either above or below the plotted Atlas Line will generated a Long or Short signal. Seen here, a long signal was generated at 1926.25. If you take a look at the green ATR value on the bottom of the chart, you can see the current ATR value at 2.3. This indicates the profit target should be rounded to 2, or 1928.25. What happens if the trade goes against you? This is why we have specific stop losses in mind. A catastrophic stop is the largest of the stops John Paul uses. In most cases, if the profit target is not hit, the time-based or prove-it stop will be hit first. You can learn about all of these stops, profit targets, and signals by purchasing the Atlas Line and attending the included live training session with John Paul. Click the blue link above to find out more.
Click here to find out more about the courses mentioned in the presentation.
John Paul conducted a presentation for NinjaTrader, in which he covered his price action approach to the markets, what to expect in 2014, and how to improve your results.
Some of the topics discussed:
• Best time of the day to trade – why the first 2.5 hours are usually the best
• Why manipulation occurs – handling overbought or oversold markets and “testing” previous prices
• Why your trading methods should work with trending and non-trending days
• Why you should be using the ATR and what it can tell you about the market
• Where you should go to find about news events that can impact the markets
• How to plan for trending or whipsaw days on the E-mini S&P 500
• A peak at the Trade Scalper software for NinjaTrader (you fully learn this method in the Trade Scalper course, so the software is not required)
• Where John Paul expects the market to reach later this year
Using 10 contracts, John Paul traded with a result of over $2,000. This was accomplished using the Atlas Line software and the Trade Scalper strategy. These methods can be purchased separately or can be acquired through enrollment in the Mentorship Program.
For the E-mini S&P, the Atlas Line provides an entry signal around 10 a.m. US/Eastern. However, March 11, 2014 was an exception. Price danced around the Atlas Line around this time without having two consecutive closing signals above or below (which would normally generate an entry). The entry signal fired off at the close of the 10:15 a.m. candle, suggesting a Long entry of 1875. This means John Paul needed to buy the market at that price. He entered with a limit order which told the market he wanted to get in at the specified price. Price rose upwards for a while and then dropped again, tagging the entry price and filling the order. Now that he was in a trade, it was a matter of waiting and managing the the trade. You might notice NinjaTrader’s Chart Trader was not turned on right away, but you can see the profit target indicated by the green bar in the DOM window.
The second trade, over an hour later in the day, told John Paul to go short at 1874.50. Three ticks was the profit target. Although he could have gone for six ticks, he already made some profit for the day and decided on a more conservative approach. This one was filled much more quickly.
Stay tuned for the upcoming Trade Scalper videos were you can see the remaining two trades!
Today, the Atlas Line produced a Long signal at 1857.75 as seen on the chart. The doorbell sound was heard, as the Atlas Line can be configured to play sound file for the main Long and Short signals. John Paul’s Limit order was filled at the desired price. His catastrophic stop was at 1853.75, four points below the entry. In most cases, the catastrophic stop is not hit; it’s just there as a safety net. From this point, John Paul manages the trade by tightening the profit target slightly to 1859.50 (1.75 points of profit, if hit). Right away, price approached his profit target. Price danced around, retracing values it reached previously. As he says, markets love to retreat back to tested waters regularly. Within 10 minutes, price broke through the profit target, earning the 1.75 points (or $87.50 profit with one contract, $1050 with 12 contracts as seen here). Remember, the ES is worth $12.50 per tick and there are four ticks per point. 1.75 / .25 = 7 ticks x $12.5 = $87.5 (1 contract) or x 12 = $1050 (12 contracts).
Remember, you can get these same exact Long and Short entries on your charts everyday. Click the link above to find out more about the Atlas Line.
Click the image for a larger chart
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Today’s E-mini at 9:30 a.m. EST was priced at 1811.75. It ended the day at 1780.25. It was a big down day. This opportunity allows us to show you multiple Strength and Pullback Trades when price is severely trending. The Atlas Line was correct in deciding the market would be going short, as it advised sticking to the short side. You can see our recent trades on this page that show the Atlas Line strategy in action from 9:30 a.m. to noon, EST.
After purchase, we email you the Atlas Line software and instructions. We also provide you with a training video ahead of time to teach you how to use the Atlas Line. We also invite you to the next live training session, where John Paul shows you and a handful of other new Atlas Line users how to use the software. We also provide you with a recording of the live training session. Free support is provided for the duration of your license. Click here to go to the Atlas Line purchase page.
In case you weren’t able to make it to the webinar earlier today, here is the recording. Consecutive days, multiple markets, live audience – it’s all here! Check out the performance on the YM, ES, 6E, and ZB. In case you don’t yet know, the Atlas Line is software that plugs into your trading platform (either NinjaTrader, TradeStation, or eSignal). It then plots a line at a specific time and angle every day. Depending on how price moves in relation to the line, order signals are generated. The order signals tell you when and how to enter the market (either Long or Short). It’s quite simple to use and it comes with live training.
Reminder – Monday, January 13, a new session of Group Mentorship starts. Click here to read everything about Mentorship. Yes, the Atlas Line is included with Mentorship, as are all of our other courses and software.
The first part of this live webinar recording explains how to use the Atlas Line to evaluate whether a trade is still viable after big market spikes. By checking if the current plotting Atlas Line position is more than double the ATR, a trader can determine if the market is “exhausted” and not worth trading. If the value is less, the trade is still viable. The Atlas Line’s entry, profit target and stop loss can then be placed according to the rules. At around 7:00 in, John Paul explains what the ATR is and how to configure it. At about 13:00 in, John Paul discusses trade management from the last few days. Again, the profit and stop loss values are taught to you in the live training. However, John Paul goes over them briefly in this video at the 15:00 mark. Fast forward to the 28:00 mark to see a review of this year’s January Effect trading opportunities. The January Effect is sort of a retracement breakout strategy, where there’s an expectation for the market to rise overall for 2013. Each time a previous high value is reached via retracement using a Daily chart, there seems to be consistency with price then rising. According to John Paul, this makes for many good Long (bullish) entries.