I (John Paul) may not have a crystal ball, but I have a prediction of where 2012 will end up. How can I be so sure? Although you may follow my real-tme price action methods of day trading, know that historical analysis has played a major role in my trading career. Most traders are unaware of one strategy in particular that relates to the month of January. Going back in history, you can verify that the first month of the year is an accurate predictor of how the year will end (up or down) in the E-Mini and related indices. As an example, the last day of trading in January 2012 closed higher as compared to the opening price on January 3, 2012. This gives us a strong indication that 2012 will end higher (in December) as a bullish year because of January’s activity.
How can you take advantage of this? You can buy the December contract right now. You can buy options far into the future. You can even buy the cash market and sit on it. Analysts use this method every year as part of their strategies.
Another forecasting method that most traders are unaware of is that every year ending in a 5 is a bullish year for financials. You can verify this by going back in history to the early 1900s. Without fail, a bullish year occurs when the last digit ends in with a 5. Without requiring advanced mathematics, the next year this is expected to occur is 2015.
Conclusion – the year 2012 is expected to end bullish as compared to its opening price in indices. The year 2015 is expected to be bullish.
Here’s today’s ES trade using the Atlas Line. Rather choppy movement gave way to our Long order signal, produced automatically by the Atlas Line at 1327.25. With a direction and entry price, we immediately entered. Based on real-time market conditions, we knew exactly what our profit target and stop loss should be. John refers to three stop losses. Although it’s not possible to use all three at once, we have the remaining two in mind when necessary. Trade management is taught in the live training that’s included with purchase.
As price would have it, our target was quickly hit thus providing $750 using 10 ES contracts. When the ES is moving as slowly as it’s been the last couple of months, we have to be careful to avoid the chop and capitalize on those rare moments when price decides to make a run for it. After this initial trade, there are plenty more opportunities. If price continues upward, we can look for Pullback and Strength trades. If price decides to move downward and intersect the plotted Atlas Line, we would then switch to short trades. Always have a plan when you trade – don’t take trades on a whim! Let the Atlas Line guide your trading.
This video will show you how to objectively determine whether a market’s activity is too slow to trade. In less than seven minutes, John Paul will set you straight on when to “stay out” based on ATR (Average True Range). Using the correct ATR parameters along with value ranges, you can quickly assess an instrument’s tradeability. The E-Mini S&P has been relatively slow within the last month, with the ATR less than 1.5 points during morning trading hours. In the afternoon, the ATR often drops to three ticks. This video also shows John using the ATR with Euro Currency Futures, providing exact values to look for when seeking optimal trading conditions. Being a consistently successful day trader requires that you know how to reduce risk. Further training is available to Group Mentorship students. Sign up for the next eight week session today. Lessons begin Monday, February 13.
As you’re probably aware, we at Day Trade to Win always use NinjaTrader when trading, in our videos or otherwise, as our preferred trading platform. Kinetick is NinjaTrader’s solution for fast, unfiltered, real-time market data for Stocks, Futures and Forex. Kinetick is optimized for NinjaTrader 7 and designed to exceed the expectations of the most demanding traders. This is why Kinetick is our preferred Market Data Service.
You can join a free Kinetick presentation to learn more. Upcoming product demonstrations will teach you how to supercharge your NinjaTrader 7 experience with fast, unfiltered data. You can email [email protected] or visit www.kinetick.com for more information.
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By popular demand, here’s the webinar recording from last Friday (January, 13, 2012). As you’ll see, it was a profitable day as the Atlas Line provided Short signals right before the big moves in the ES (E-Mini) and 6E (Euro). John leaves his live charts running, so you can see how price moves in relation to the signals.
In case you’re not familiar with the Atlas Line, you’ll see it as the dotted pink line on the chart. The software also produces entry signals; the first of which appears on the 6E as a Dbl Bar Short at 1.269. Shortly after, you’ll hear the doorbell sound, indicating another short entry – this time on the ES. Two consecutive closings below the Atlas Line is what triggered the entry. What about stops and profit targets? These are discussed in the video and the live training that’s included with purchase.
When you’re provided with an exact direction and entry price, trading becomes so much easier. As stated many times, the included training covers everything you need to know. You can ask John Paul questions directly. What are you waiting for? Purchase the Atlas Line today.
Wouldn’t it be great if you had an automated solution to tell you when to go long or short and at what price? That’s exactly what the Atlas Line can tell you. In this video, the first Atlas Line signal of the day on the ES (E-Mini) appeared around 10:00 a.m. when price was at 1287.5. John then placed his entry to go long exactly at the provided price. Profit targets are always based on what the markets can produce (volatility) as determined by the ATR (Average True Range). Using this information, we know to go for a profit target of 1.5 points (6 ticks) based on current market conditions. You’ll also notice that the stop is placed automatically using NinjaTrader’s ATM strategy. Stops and targets can be adjusted on the fly by dragging and dropping the Chart Trader markers on the chart. If necessary, John will switch his stop to a Time-based, but usually relies on the Prove-It if market conditions are not going in his favor. Each stop type as well as profit targets are taught in the live training session that’s included with purchase.
Really, trading can’t be any simpler. That’s the goal of the Atlas Line. Consistent results. See our previous post below showing the trading results of the last three months.
For each of the last three months (October, November and December of 2011), we totaled the number of days traded in the month, determined the month’s total profit or loss and the month’s daily average profit or loss. Here are the results using the data that’s been posted on the Atlas Line Results Page every week…
Atlas Line Results – December, 2011 (21 trading days) Total # of ticks Profit or loss = +181 ticks (or +45.25 points) Avg. # of ticks profit or loss per day = +8 ticks (or +2 points)
Atlas Line Results – November, 2011 (23 trading days) Total # of ticks profit or loss = +228 ticks (or +57 points) Avg. # of ticks profit or loss per day = +10 ticks (or +2.5 points)
Atlas Line Results – October, 2011 (21 trading days) Total # of ticks profit or loss = +285 ticks (or +71.25 points) Avg. # of ticks profit or loss per day = +14 ticks (or +3.5 points)
Note that the decline in ES volatility toward the conclusion of 2011 created fewer profit opportunities. We think the results speak for themselves. Purchase the Atlas Line with a six month or lifetime license.
Watch John Paul make 1.25 points using the Atlas Line while teaching one of his students. The other voice you hear in the video is a one-on-one Private Mentorship student who is asking John questions. Normally, when John is training his students either in the individual or group Mentorship classes, he focuses on teaching instead of trading. When a profitable and educational trading opportunity arises during lecture, John takes the trade. Watch the video to see how the Atlas Line’s Long signal is used along with a target of 1.25 points. You’ll see a fairly large stop (Catastrophic) in place as indicated by NinjaTrader’s Chart Trader, but this is not used. If the trade started to move against him, John would have used a Prove-It stop in this case, triggering when price closes below the plotted Atlas Line. A second Time-Based stop is also kept in mind, but not used as price eventually hits the target. Each stop strategy along with the entire method for trading the Atlas Line is taught in the included live training or in Private Mentorship (if you prefer to learn everything we offer).
Remember, let price prove to you how it wants to be traded. Also, have a defined entry and exit strategies in mind before each trade. This keeps risk management in check and makes your trading objective.
Here’s the webinar recording from earlier today (10:00 a.m. US/Eastern).
In this webinar, John Paul used live charts to demonstrate the accurate entry signals produced by the Atlas Line. Real, live profitable setups were automatically identified using the software, thus resulting in Short entry signals (1264 on the ES and 1.2811 on the 6E). Yesterday’s activity was also reviewed, with two strong trades – a long and a short, brought Atlas Line users well into profit territory. A few attendees asked about overnight trading, popular among international traders. Yes, the Atlas Line performs well overnight – last night’s activity produced a Short signal with plenty of Strength and Pullback trades to rack up the points. Trading Forex is also possible with the Atlas Line, providing you have 24-hour data. The futures and forex versions are always nearly identical in terms of price action. Trading your favorite markets along with the Strength, Bounce and Pullback trades are taught in the live training that’s included with purchase of the 6-Month or lifetime Atlas Line.
As a trader, you are faced with choices every day. Each choice affects your bottom line. Be sure &ndash absolutely sure you know the ‘why’ and ‘when’ before entering each trade. If you are not trading objectively using price action, then you are missing the clear picture.
Attend this informative webinar to see how using price action can provide answers:
• What instruments offer the best bang for the buck?
• What times of the day are best to trade and why?
• Trade management / stop strategies / profit targets
• Configuring your charts (time frames, ticks, data, etc.)
• Day trading methods you can use to maximize profits
• Trading the E-Mini (ES), Euro Currency (6E) and your picks
At Day Trade to Win, we let price tell us how it wants to be traded. We don’t use indicators or outdated information. We trade based on price in real-time. Watch how we trade price action by attending this free webinar. Make 2012 the year you changed your trading for the better!
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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